The chart shows what I am thinking right now. I was not going to post anymore analyses because I felt they were not appreciated (just by looking at the likes and follows). However, I felt like I needed to share this just to see if I am onto something and not totally crazy. :)
I knew this upmove was coming and I am expecting AEX 615 for some time now. You can read this in some previous analyses (check the comments as well) which I have added below this analysis. However, when THE TOP would arrive, was not clear yet (I expected it to come sooner in June/July). With this chart, I shine some light on a very probable date (give it some days deviation) to top this 'man made' market.
A little piece wisdom: keep an eye on tech because this market is insane! Even more insane than the year 2000 if you ask me! When the tech stocks 'say' it is over, than it is over... I use my cycles and signal system (which I trade the AEX/FTI with as well) to see when and where this bearmarket move up is done. For the AEX I check ASML and it is still not done. ±365 seems to be the next target to the upside.
Enjoy! And please leave a like and/or follow me if you think this content is useful. Also feel free to leave a comment and start a conversation. :)
Shalom,
Im
Disclaimer: think for yourself and search for the truth.
I'm seeing something similar on the Dow [Dow Top Call: July - September: 28,500]
ImmanuelKoning
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@M0ckk, hi! I don't see how you get to this number for a top. Closing the gap would be more logical or touching some kind of Fibonacci ratio. ;) That being said, good to see I am not the only one who sees more upside. :) Shalom, Im
Hey, great analisys, let's see how it plays out... I think that you're not getting a lot of likes\follows because you only publish ideas about the AEX... Let's be honest, even among the various european indeces, the AEX is one of the minor and less followed ones... no offense of course; I live in Italy: how many likes do you think I'd get if I only published ideas about the italian stock exchange? Even less than you for sure. This is a global community, but US indexes still dominate, along with cryptos and forex... try to publish an idea a week on bitcoin or the Nasdaq (for example), since you obviously have the skills... you'll get dozens of likes and many new followers just from those...
ImmanuelKoning
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@Luke8111, thanks! :) You may be very right Luke about the likes/follows. :) The point however is that I am a Dutchie plus the AEX and I got to know eachother after years of struggling. ;) My nicknames for the AEX (as to confirm what you are saying with 'minor' and 'less followed ones'): AENIX ('niks' in Dutch means 'nothing') and Mickey Mouse (you can't take such a character serious) index. So no offense taken! :)
And thank you for the good advice! However I can't do anything about it. My focus will be (from October on) to live of my signal system so I need to focus. There are mouths that need to be filled. And as you might see when you read my other articles, I am not your average guy. ;) No coins for me, NDX perhaps later on. But if I want to get more followers and likes, I will focus more on the biggies as you said because I think your right. Thank you again for taking the time to write to me! Shalom, Im
dogchasingcogChasingCars
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@ImmanuelKoning, Yeah I see your point, I too do not feel comfortable writing about stuff that I don't know well; but maybe you could throw a look at some other european indexes from time to time, without stressing too much about it, and if you see something interesting, give a shoutout to the community... the DAX is a very important leading index, but many people in the US just ignore it; the Eurostoxx 50 and the Eurostoxx Banks Index can also send early signals about economic recovery OR recession not just in Europe, but worldwide... and all these, given the geographic vicinity, could help confirm your analisys of the AEX, so you would not be wasting any time by watching them from time to time, maybe not every day, just once a week for example...
ImmanuelKoning
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@Luke8111, thank you again! I agree, the DAX is the leader for Europe together with the STOXX indices. I watched them all together in the past, but most of the time this makes analysis really confusing and gives me a lot of question marks while knowing how to read and write with one index makes me come to the right conclusion very often (not always guys, I still am human, haha). I see it as a big advantage that just knowing what is going on in tech and with the FED pumping (keeping the market high), one index is all I need to understand to make these calls. I am often even more confident because I know what is coming from studying my bible. 2020 is a KEY year! But this is another topic for another time. However, it will affect the market, so stay alert this year...
So I understand that the above is not what most people think or know (follow just one thing and that does the trick), but the ones who see my analyses will know it just fine. :) Matthew 7 verses 7 and 8, look them up and read them aloud. It worked for me perfectly. Here comes a testimony from a normal guy that has lived as a highly educated and very down to earth guy that knew this world is full of lies. After weeks of research in how this world spins and turns (I was in a lot of pain because of my health), I could not go around Christ anymore. I was really shocked about the stuff I found out about this world that I wanted nothing to do with it. I am in this world, but I am NOT of this world... So I became a believer in Jesus Christ (Yeshua). This was May 2016. In the beginning of 2017, I really got to know Yeshua and started to do His will (Torah/law and grow in showing love to others) in my life and not my own. Only then I got blessed in my endeavors to make money in the stock market (being in a big debt because of my stupid trading actions). I kept searching through reading the bible, praying and fasting for a breakthrough OR to take the whole stockmarket passion away from me and make me just quit and live with the losses I made. I can tell you this: my faith in Yeshua made me more knowledgeable than ever in time cycles and price techniques and I found a bizar signal system (based on hard data) to trade with. I asked Him to do what was best for me and He gave me a way out of debt (2,5 years later) and so I continued on since this moment in June 2017 and remain very grateful up to this day!
A lot of people might think that this is not of God, well everything is made by Him and most people are in the markets themselves for building their pension... I was so lost, like most, but there is hope in Yeshua. Even for something 'dumb' as the stockmarket which is just a way to make money and not even that important when you take a step back and think about it. Now in 2020, I finally have the most pieces of the puzzle together, after 7 years of struggle I seem to be ready to give it a real shot now, and be a blessing to my family and other brothers in need! God is good! Shalom, Im
scheplick
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This is really interesting. I also would be curious if it matches other major global indices
ImmanuelKoning
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@scheplick, thank you! SPX and DOW made a slightly higher high while the AEX did not. The NDX went even higher than the aforementioned indices but from a way lower high than the tech melt up high in the year 2K. The DAX went two times to a high just below the July 2007 high (just as the AEX did) and topped out in December 2007 with the second high and than went down. The CAC40 was the weakest and did not get back very high in October 2007.
So in conclusion: there are some differences, but for me that is not of much important because I know the AEX after 7 years of love and hate between us. ;) Most important is to trade my hard data (signal system) and to analyse using time and price. :) Shalom, Im