Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis

🔥 Market Overview:
Trend: Strong Bearish
Resistance Levels: $89,508 – $90,049 (EMA 200), $88,013
Support Levels: $86,000 – $85,500
Volume & Liquidity: High selling pressure, increased volatility
Indicators:
MACD: Strong negative momentum, bearish crossover
RSI: Oversold (36), but still weak buying pressure
EMA 9 & 200: Clear downtrend confirmation
Market Maker Moves: Potential stop hunts near $86,000
Order Book Analysis: Large sell walls near $88,500, liquidity gap below $85,500
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Buy near: $86,200 – $86,500

Target 1: $87,800 (+1.85%)
Target 2: $88,500 (+2.7%)
Stop-Loss: Below $85,700
🩸 2. Short near: $88,000 – $88,500
Target 1: $86,800 (-2%)
Target 2: $85,500 (-3.4%)
Stop-Loss: Above $89,200
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks):
Bearish Continuation: If price remains below $89,000, expect a retest of $84,000
Bullish Reversal: A break above $90,000 could push BTC back to $92,500
⚡ News & Market Context:
MicroStrategy accumulation: Positive sentiment, but market ignores it
FOMC & Macro Data risks: Rate hikes could increase selling pressure
Exchange Liquidation Clusters: Short liquidations below $85,500
💰 Profit Calculation & ROI:
Long:
Profit: +1.86%
ROI: +9.28%
Short:
Profit: +1.36%
ROI: +6.82%
👑 Trade Rating (1-10):
Long Setup: 7/10 (Good entry, but still risky)
Short Setup: 8/10 (Stronger momentum, safer position)
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Scalp long from $86,200 with strict stop-loss
🩸 Mid-term: Avoid heavy longs until confirmation above $90,000
🩸 Ideal Play: Short from $88,500 with a target of $85,500

🔥 Best Asset for Scalping: BTC remains the best option given liquidity & volatility

👑 Final Verdict: Controlled scalping, avoid aggressive longs!

🔥 FinCaesar:
"The battlefield favors the prepared. Precision wins wars."