Long-term positional trade, expect several months to play out or 1-2 weeks to be stopped out (not for the faint-hearted or those afraid of a little underwater snorkeling)
Weekly BB (20, close) - Coinbase BTC/USD
Successful breaches: (price went below the line and bounced) Oct 2019 = 7296.44/7733.72 (-5.6% below) Nov 2019 = 6526/6876.67 (-5.1% below) Jun 2021 = 28800/30027.11 (-4.1% below)
Near-misses: (price almost touched the line and bounced) Jun 2018 = 5777/5666.71 (1.9% above) Sep 2019 = 7712.45/7654.79 (0.7% above) Dec 2019 = 6430/6303 (2% above) May 2021 = 30000/29443.06 (1.8% above) Jun 2021 = 31004.95/30269.76 (2.4% above)
Epic fails: (price went far below the line): Nov 2018 (6k "titanium support" breakdown) Mar 2020 (Covid)
Win/Loss ratio: 8/2 = 4.0
Idea: Long /w entry around 2% above lower weekly BB line (wait for weekly close) Stop around -9% below entry or -7% below BB