BTC looks really weak, further -50% capitulation?

BTC is struggling to hold 200W sma and there's just no one buying the asks even if the orderbook has been cleared. Any 4h close below 22000 will see a test of 20700 lows and 19300 and if that fails, next up is

16100
13800

Can't predict price action but If I had to guess, it's fairly probable that the bottom will be put in in the 11400 to 12000 range, and then ping back to 20-22k.

Similarly I think eth will bottom around 440.