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2018年3月29日下午5點17分

BITCOIN IS NEARING THE 2ND 'DEATH CROSS' ON THE CHARTS! 

Bitcoin / DollarBitfinex

描述

This is what that means.
Bitcoin has fallen below $8,000 this month. The charts are showing something that has investors wondering if it is time to panic.
Bitcoin's chart shows price has experienced the first 'death cross' where the 50 sma crosses below the 100 sma. Now the 50 sma is approaching the 200 sma and it appears that the 50 sma may cross below the 200 sma also creating the second 'death cross'. This is used to illustrate when the 50 sma moves below the 200 sma – technicians often look at this pattern as a bearish sign of what's to come.
And in bitcoin's case, the 50 sma has already taken out the 100 sma, with the shorter-term trend line inching lower.
"When we are talking about bitcoin, I think it's important to remember that we don't have much history to go off of to identify long term trends," Jim Iuorio of TJM Institutional Services wrote to CNBC on Wednesday. "That being said, any time the 50-day crosses the 200-day, it should flash a warning…and when you couple that with the fact that bitcoin has been trending steadily lower since the launch of futures, I think that it is a major negative," he added.
But not everyone believes that a death cross marks more pain ahead for bitcoin. "Fast Money" trader Brian Kelly points out that he sees an uptrend in the chart of bitcoin that has been in play since August, and thinks that the same uptrend could actually be just as indicative of where bitcoin is headed.
"Bitcoin, just like the spot FX markets, follows technicals closely, therefore these support levels gain more importance," he wrote to CNBC. "If these levels hold, then it will confirm the uptrend from August is still valid."
The last time the death cross pattern occurred for bitcoin was in September 2015. After the death cross, bitcoin rallied close to $500 by early November that year from around $230.
Bitcoin has plunged about 38 percent year to date, but would still need to fall another 88 percent to erase all of the 2017 gains.
Quotes taken from Annie Pei article from Futures Now CNBC

評論

BTCUSD 4H BEARISH BREAKOUT OF TRENDLINE

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Past Support Resistance levels

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Strong Bearish move on 4H to next support level
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Yurii2016
one more example prnt.sc/izss0x
Tradingstrategyguides
@Yurii2016, Thank you! Great example. These are repeatable patterns. It may happen it may not happen. These are patterns that let you anticipate what may happen and to help be prepared for it.
Yurii2016
Your "idea" is complete nonsense! Bull Shit to be precise... You took one section of the chart and on it "found a regularity" Seriously ?! And what about other charts with the same intersections? prnt.sc/izsmjz
Tradingstrategyguides
@Yurii2016, You are right. A sideways consolidation is hard to anticipate direction but the second bullish crossover from your example did create a nice bullish move.
caseystubbs
This is a great trade idea I hope it doesnt die but I think it probably will.
Tradingstrategyguides
@caseystubbs, Thanks for your comment. Neither do I but this chart pattern may be a help whether it does or not. We will see as price approaches important support levels.
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