The current 4-month long downtrend is a correction to long-term support channels from late 2013 and from 2012. These channels begin to intersect the current established trends as follows:
3 weeks: current resistance meets 2013 upper support lines 4.7 weeks: current resistance meets 2013 lower support lines 10 weeks: current trend mid-line meets 2012 support channel midline
Each of these work more like deadlines - the upward movement can happen at any time before a deadline, but after each has been passed the fundamental situation has been changed.