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UnknownUnicorn1043646
2021年6月9日晚上7點22分

Crypto - Bitcoin - The Big Short 看空

Bitcoin all time history indexINDEX

描述

Idea for Bitcoin:
- CPI will print a drop-off tomorrow. Inflation bulls will be decimated. Gold, Stocks, Commodities, Crypto.
- G7 this weekend will bring a relentless wave of FUD and global bans.
- Price broke down from the wedge on the bear flag and re-tested the wedge bottom.
- Classic washout of retail shorts before the flush.
- Saylor's liquidation will create extraordinary selling volume on price.

This is it.

We are nearing the end of this full Wyckoff Distribution structure:


GLHF
- DPT

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Short positions... This is not retail. Something's got to give:

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BVOL24H suggest explosive move imminent:

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With all the liquidity provided by shorts, bulls attempted to squeeze and moonshot it, but failed. Now shorts are covering with price declining. Bulls lost their chance, and proved too weak to push it through the resistance:

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Bitcoin loses 30% hashrate over last 30 days:
blockchain.com/charts/hash-rate

Seems that China is shutting down crypto miners.

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logistics firm in Guangzhou confirms to CNBC - it’s airlifting 3,000kg (6,600lbs) bitcoin mining machines to Maryland, USA. Fenghua International advertises products delivered to door, tax on both ends cleared. Price per kilo: as low as $9.37.

China dumping not only cryptocurrencies but derivatives and hardware onto American retail...

MSTR's Saylor purchases bitcoin with junk bond offering and loans. Crypto itself is leveraged and Tether is backed on almost nothing.

How is it different from subprime mortgages, or even worse?

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"The sucker has always tried to get something for nothing" - Thomas F Woodlock

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Price makes a possible new ML Channel, making a 20k bottom more likely:

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Something to note:

The dump could be invalidated and it could be the start of a rally, but always watch for this washout before the flush. Countertrend moves usually precede a big move to shakeout retail.

Especially since this move is spot buying (vs. options hedging) meaning sellers might want to bid up a nice book to sell into, trapping as much retail longs as possible. Watch for blow-off top and big dump tonight if I am right:

評論
Bitcoin_Weather
agree with you

DHLawrence
I appreciate you sharing your home-work! It correlates with what I am coming up with also.
Bitcoin_Weather
@DHLawrence, chart updated
stellarcollision
This is what Dr. Burry has been saying for a while, save the equipment dump. I think things are going to get very interesting, very soon.
B-17
CPI beat expectations... seems like this short may have to wait.
UnknownUnicorn1043646
@B-17, Interestingly, yields support my case
B-17
@DarkPoolTrading, agree with that, but i would bet yields rise before CPI falls below expectations. next month or so should be in line. Today's 5% is spicy. GL
Mattysalads
You believe the CPLie? LOL
Hemadnzr
"Saylor's liquidation will create extraordinary selling volume on price."

this can't happen, his loans don't get liquidated, and he is not forced to sell. So no liquidation for Saylor!
Although I believe it's not the bottom, we will see 30 or 25k for bitcoin soon.
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