This BitCoin price chart (logarithmic scaled) shows a clear and reasonable path to 100k per coin in April of 2018, and then beyond to $1 Million per coin in Q2 2020, and then $3 Million per coin in Q2 2021. If enough Crypto Revolutionaries show an interest, I'll update the chart periodically as market conditions dictate.
評論
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A must read for those who want to understand the true value of BitCoin:
This is basically a 2017 year end update on the BCT progress towards the target 100k+ area. The chart below shows an updated and zoomed in view of the target area. Serveal points related to this chart are:
1. On 01/07/18, BTC closed at 16,124, pretty much dead on the arc path. In December the market got ahead of the arc path at the 20k level, and then pulled back to 11k.
2. This is a log chart. BTC is currently at the 4th exponet level (10**4 == 10,000). Our target is basically the lower part of the 10**5 level, or just over 100k. On an exponent basis, we are 80% the way to the target. On a linear basis, we're only 20% the way there. So over the next few months there should be a lot of bang for the buck.
3. The next target to reach on the arc path is 31,000 on 02/11/18. When the current correction is over, and the 20k level comes out, we'll look for this level around Valentines day.
4. What could throw a monkey wrench into the mix, preventing BCT from continuing on the projected path? The current correction needs to hold the 8,000 level. If it does not, there is likely to be a BCT clash with Bitcoin Cash (BCH). The danger area is shown on the chart. If we enter this zone, some market and mining chaos could ensue, so be prepared! Bitcoin cash is a good investment it it's own right, and also excellent insurance if BCT succombs to BCH!
5. The target zone and CD leg into the target zone have had minor updates.
6. Next update around Valentines day, or sooner if market conditions dictate.
評論
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Bitcoin is in a similar degree correction and has pulled back to the 200MA.
In the chart below, notice the similarities of the current correction off of 19666.00 and the correction off of 259.34 that started in April of 2013. I'll list them.
They each: 1. started off of the inner resistance channel line 2. found support at the 200 moving avg line 3. are 4 grid lines in length (so far) 4. made .882 corrections to the inner support channel lines.
If the similarities continue, then when the current correction is over, BTC would rally to the upper resistance channel line reaching the target of 100k - 110k.
The April 2013 correction was 4 grid lines in length and the correction lasted 12 weeks. The current correction has reached the same length (4 grid lines), but in 6 weeks. The market may simply just rally from the current low of 7625.25 (BitStamp), as it has already started to do. But more likely there will be either a testback after a few weeks of rally or sideways movement, or even one more push down to the inner blue support channel line, meaning a lower low which could reach the 6500 area. In any case, the rally towards the target area should either be on the way, or commence in six weeks or so after one more push down. Alt coins are rallying as well, so that's a good sign. In fact, Litecoin is already up over 70% from it's $100 low.
The rally into the 1163 high in Nov of 2013 which reached the upper channel resistance line was 9 grid lines in length and 21 weeks in time. Using those figures as a projection for the rally from our current correction low would take the market to the target shown in late July 2018.
An 88% pullback seems like alot.
Ive seen an 79% pullback in the bear
market of 14 but I do love the moonboy Projections.
We Have to remember how many people are gonna get burned by the
top and never mess with Btc again. So 100k to 12k seem too cheap.
I know how desperate it feels in free fall but at some point Btc
is too Cheap. 88% is alot dough!
thebigskinny
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22 trillion is not that much when the top 5 world economies start adopting. you cant compare this to US stocks or economies. it is a world wide currency. japan has already started heavy adoption china is huge in the space, india is starting to up their involvement. this has created a world wide market that has never existed so you will never understand the potential price movements without understanding there is nothing to compare this too. there has never been one thing for the entire world to bid on. you have 28 million coins that 7.2 billion people might want to get their hands on. possibility and probability are important to define in this situation.
You23
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My chart was made 10 months ago and has the exact shape as yours and has already predicted the last year of price movements.
semasters
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@Ero23, Nice...Log charts don't lie!
josephtse
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@Ero23, Did it also predict Mt Gox? I'm telling you guys, 97 RSI messes things up. The fractal shows bitcoin corrects for ever scalar multiple of 10. From 10 to 1000, it corrects 78%. the next scale would then be 100 bagger: from 250 to 25000. Then it will correct 87% again to around 3300. then the next multiple is 1000: from 5500 to 3.3million!!! Right on the dime!!!
josephtse
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@josephtse, Correction: First growth scalar from 10 to 100, not 10 to 1000. Next scalar growth is 100 to 1000. From 25,000 intro to CME will correct 87% to 3300. Next up scalar growth multiple is 1000; Bitcoin will go from 3300 to 3.3 Million. not 5500 to 3.3 million.
@josephtse, I wouldn't rely solely on vector modeling to predict the next correction, nor the next high.
NEVER1ST
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Thank for update sir, I am fully on the same side considering this idea and current market. its much more similar with 250s bubble rather than Mtgox bubble, considering price height in the channel, retrace, time it took and fundamental side of things.When everyone expects growth they get slaughtered, now everyone expects further decline so the market speaks for itself. Keep it updated sir!
josephtse
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This analysis is invalid. Fundamental factors changed the entire path. We are now on the 2013-2014 fractal, which means 85% drop from 19,900 down to ~4000 and 12 month consolidation period. That is the realistic scenario. 1million per bitcoin would mean like $100 trillion market cap, or the size all all the companies in all the G20 world indexes combined. Not likley, considering, the US could just as easily fix their money supply and create hyper-deflation and your dollar would be worth $1000 dollars.
Ive seen an 79% pullback in the bear
market of 14 but I do love the moonboy Projections.
We Have to remember how many people are gonna get burned by the
top and never mess with Btc again. So 100k to 12k seem too cheap.
I know how desperate it feels in free fall but at some point Btc
is too Cheap. 88% is alot dough!