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TRADE GBPUSD: SELL@1.51900 Triangle Breakout + Wave Count

FX:GBPUSD   英鎊 / 美元
In my previous post on this pair, I gave a outlook on the path that this pair should take:

After a brief period of consolidation which resulted in a triangle pattern being formed, we are now seeing a breakout of that triangle down. I don't know that this is a false breakout or a true breakout but this is a trade going with the larger trend and also with my wave count.

WAVE COUNT
I have been labeling this recent retracement wave up as a wave iv of v of 3. That means this next move should be down in a wave v to complete the larger wave 3 if my count is correct. And so far, it looks that way. The wave iv retraced all the way up to the end of the wave i but did not close into it (with the exception of a brief spike up into it's price territory upon opening due most likely to the reaction to the Paris bombings).

PATTERN

As I've shown in the previous post on this pair, there is a POTENTIAL Crab that is waiting to be filled.

MY TRADE PLAN
I have gone SHORT on this pair as per my analysis and will hold SHORT to my TP1 which is at the .886 retrace of this wave 4 although I do expect it to head even lower to complete the wave v. I'll decide at that point whether to keep or take profit.

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