NVDA GEX Options Sentiment Analysis for July 14

🧠 GEX Breakdown
* Key Gamma Resistance (Call Wall):
* $164.94 → Highest NET positive GEX (Gamma Wall) – Major resistance where market makers start hedging against further upside.
* $167.89 (local high) → aligns with 1st rejection wick.
* $170 → 2nd CALL Wall (67.29%) – max squeeze potential if $165 breaks with volume.
* Call Side Build-up:
* $167 – 20.62%
* $170 – 67.29%
Stacked CALL walls above = gamma trap if breached, but tough resistance ahead.
* Put Support Walls:
* $152.50 – Strongest downside gamma support
* $148–149 – Layered 2nd/3rd PUT Wall zone
📊 Options Flow Insights
* IVR: 5.6 (very low) → cheap premiums, low expected move
* IVX avg: 44.1
* Call/Put Bias:
* Calls: 11.8% dominance
* GEX Sentiment: ⚠️ Bearish Reversal Risk (high call saturation at resistance)

✅ Suggested Option Plays (Based on GEX Only)
🔸Bearish Rejection Play
* If NVDA rejects $164.94–$165.20 zone (Gamma + Supply confluence):
* Buy puts targeting $160 or $158
* Trade idea:
* Buy: NVDA 160p (Jul 19 expiry or same week)
* Entry: If price stalls/rejects $164.90–$165.20
* Target: $161 → $158
* Stop: Close above $166.00
🔸Bullish Gamma Squeeze (Only if $165 Breaks Cleanly)
* If price breaks and holds above $165.50 with strength
* Buy calls targeting $170 (2nd CALL Wall)
* Trade idea:
* Buy: NVDA 170c (Jul 19 or 26 expiry)
* Entry: $165.60+ breakout + strong volume
* Target: $169–$170
* Stop: Below $163.80

🕯 1-Hour Chart – Price Action Analysis

Market Structure
* CHoCH → BOS → BOS → creating a clear bullish leg, but current supply box at $165 is rejecting price short term.
* Trendline support: Still holding from July 8 lows
* Liquidity zone: $160.96–$161.10 (first demand zone)
Current Setup
* Price is hovering under supply zone + GEX wall → indicating indecision or potential short-term top
* MACD weakening + volume declining = possible pause or reversal
* Clean higher-low structure still intact for now

🎯 Trade Plan Based on 1H Chart
🟢 Bullish Intraday Plan
* Entry: $161.00–$160.50 demand block
* Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or rejection wick
* Target: $164.94 then $167
* Stop-loss: Below $159.80
🔴 Bearish Intraday Plan
* Entry: $164.90–$165.20 inside supply
* Confirmation: Weakening candle (doji or long wick) + no breakout
* Target: $161.00 then $158.80
* Stop-loss: Above $166.10

✍️ My Thoughts
NVDA is coiling just under a heavy GEX resistance wall. If $165 can't break, downside correction to $161–$158 is probable. GEX suggests sellers may be in control unless bulls force a gamma squeeze over $165. Stay patient — let the levels react.

This breakdown is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage your risk.