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Luettis
2018年8月31日下午2點49分

S&P 500 in uncharted land 

S&P 500SP

描述

With leaving the old ATH behind the S&P 500 reached uncharted land.

What can be the next aim?

1) Fib retracement:


2) EW - motive waves:


3) chart patterns:
- on 2787 we find a swing trend line, also the upper limit of a triangle
- this triangle had been broken up to the top in july 18
- measuring the spread at the "mouth" of the triangle and shifting it to the day where the price left the triangle we can draw a rectangle as target zone

The indicators are signalling a bullish trend - at least for the next time.
But volume is going back - the last rush hasn´t been accompanied with rising volume - an alarming sign.

My conclusion:
S&P 500 has had a very long rally, beginning in 2009 and ending in 2018 probably. Perhaps we see some more new highs in the next days, but with rising risks as well. The ending of the last motive wave 5 isn´t far away in my opinion. And with the ending of this long cycle we will enter a correction that is worth to be called "crash". Because the fib retracements (78.6% at 2.400 or 61.8% at 2.035) are far below the actual price.
評論
DaddySawbucks
Also agree. No idea how much farther the fools can carry it though- already lost twice betting it had topped, only to bull to even more overbought level. Perhaps one last push left in it, eh?
CAP
I AGREE
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