PpSignal01

SPX Long Term: UPTREND

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SP:SPX   標準普爾500指數

Wee need some history may be required. Between the early-1700’s and the year 1929 a two century GSC unfolded, topped, and then crashed into the year 1932. After that, with the DOW around 40, a new two century GSC began. The first wave of this GSC was SC1 (super cycle one) from 1932-2007. Then the market had its biggest crash since 1929-1932: 2007-2009 the great recession. In March 2009 the great recession and SC2 ended. From that low a new 70-80 year SC3 began. The first bull market of SC3 was 2009-2015, and first bear market 2015-2016. We have labeled them as Primary waves I and II. The bull market currently underway is part of Primary III. We are counting it as Major wave 1.

With the above background it is easy to see how the Major wave 1 bull market is unfolding. Major waves divide into five Intermediate waves. Intermediate waves i and ii completed in the spring of 2016. Intermediate wave iii then started to divide into five Minor waves. Minor waves 1 and 2 ended in the fall of 2016, and Minor waves 3 and 4 ended in the spring of 2017. Minor wave 5 and Int. iii recently ended in January 2018, and Int. wave iv began at that time. Before this bull market ends, Intermediate wave v should be making new all-time highs. The wave structures of the DOW, the NYSE, and even the DJW index suggest at least one more wave higher.

Probabilities Algorithmic & AT analysis.
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