Viking83
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Gold intraday 26.9.17

FX_IDC:XAUUSD   黃金 / 美元
Next target upside = 1316. Retrace to 1310 after
評論: Juicy stops @1310 zone. 1316-17 is pending sell zone for many.
評論: I know many is short now based on "fade the news move" on North Korea.
I do not think that may do the trick this time.
評論: 1298.5 is the lower zone. If i am correct, price shall going up from there.
評論: 1298.5 is a 36 degree retrace from the 1312 level. If it holds it is perfect.
評論: Daily cycle lows are boring. Very boring.
評論: There are some sheep from Fed today speaking. What they say is not so important, but it may speed things up a bit.
評論: If we get above 1305 we are home free.
評論: I believe if u replaced the FOMC speakers with KIM, the result of the move will be the same.
評論: And what about the dollar index? DXY is at what? 93? What was it when gold was @ 1375 last year? Oh yes, above 95. Lol.
評論: 63 - 36 + 45 = 72 -> 1316.5
lets see if that is how market wants it
評論: I cannot help with the Yellen-spikes unfortunately. lets close green now.
評論: This must be regarded a failure.
My upside target remains. Better perhaps pick a day where there is no Option expiry next time.
gold will rise again at the end of the year, after FED meeting. Dollar is bouncing guys. Gold can't go higher.
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Viking83 giuseppe.grande
@giuseppe.grande, What was the level of DXY when gold was 1375 last year?
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@Viking83, yes gold should be much higer right now, if we consider the correlation with the dollar, but we are in the early stage. It is Like 2001. Correlation may shifted a little bit. Waiting to see EUR/USD at 1.14, AUD/USD at 0.77, USD/JPY at 114 and then the bull will start to eat all the bears around.
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Viking83 giuseppe.grande
@giuseppe.grande, No doubt, both dollar and US10Y makes pressure on gold. But I have still one final cycle up before down into December. Normally, in a good bull, we should see yearly higher highs. Dollar has managed to be a good bear and made a yearly lower low.
So: up into mid october, then down through rest of year until FOMC.
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@Viking83, Sounds good! Continue with your work man. It is a pleasure to read you.
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"Comment: This must be regarded a failure. " - Wow, someone on TV who's trade does not work out as expected and they admit fault and don't disappear for a few days? Pinch me, I MUST be dreaming.
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Probably see a pop soon.
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