RiversAndMountains

Stellar Lumens - Stellar Consolidation

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RiversAndMountains 已更新   
BINANCE:XLMBTC   Stellar / Bitcoin
This is a trade I made this morning when looking through charts. The guys in our excellent Crypto Cartel Discord were asking when this was at the top for areas to rebuy.

I had this exact area drawn on my chart, although I've cleaned it up now for presentation.

Things I don't like on this chart:

  • Stoch Pattern is not what I regard as bullish
    Willy21 EMA/RSI lines are high relative to price action

Things I do like:

  • Large retrace followed by tight consolidation. Squeeze is on.
    It's in my own buy area
    It's still a bull market

With a very conservative target of 5,000 sats we have an excellent risk-to-reward ratio of 2.58 so long as we maintain a tight stop of 3800 sats.

This is a trade that I'll be stopping out of only manually and only on longer candles.

I think this is the best chart I've looked at today for the kinds of trades I like to make.

==

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交易結束:達到停損點:
After multiple hours of XLM trading at/below my stop level, I've exited this trade.

Taking a small loss is not a bad thing. In fact, I mitigated it by taking a small position size on this trade in the first place because of what I felt was greater risk.


Taking a look at the charts, there are no bullish indicators except for the fact that XLM has double bottomed at 3300 Sats.

That being said, when something reaches the extreme, it reverses. If price consolidates here around 3700/3800 sats it may produce a buying signal.

But for now, I'm in the process of concentrating my trades and various endeavors back into their blue chip holdings.

In my opinion, the entire market has just started to show the first signs of bearish. This is like in autumn when everything is pretty and then suddenly there's the first frost and all the leaves fall off the trees, but the snow and ice have yet to arrive.
評論:
This is the downside to stops a lot of the time. They pay poorly compared to simply holding and waiting or even adding to the position on the dip.


The problem is that's all great until the one time the market dumps and dumps and doesn't get back up.

Look at September-October charts on virtually all alts for reference.
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