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BABA: Stock Outpaces Market on Valuation Strength — But a $433M Cloud Still Looms

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Court: S.D. New York

Case: 1:20-cv-09568

Alibaba BABA closed Monday at $108.22, gaining +1.41% and outpacing the S&P 500’s modest +0.14% rise. But while the stock is flashing short-term strength, the broader setup remains nuanced.

The stock lags the market over the past month, down 5.45% versus a 3.97% S&P 500 gain. Yet fundamentals show resilience:

📊 Q2 EPS expected at $2.26

📈 Revenue forecast: $34.32B, up +2.5% YoY

📉 Forward P/E of 11.1x, well below the industry’s 21.7x

📉 PEG ratio of 0.45, suggesting undervaluation vs. peer average of 1.38

Zacks ranks BABA a #3 (Hold) but notes that EPS estimate revisions have dipped 3.34% over the last 30 days. With the upcoming earnings release approaching, all eyes are on whether buyback momentum and AI expansion will beat expectations.

🧾 Don’t Forget the $433.5M Settlement

Amid market chatter, many investors may overlook the fact that Alibaba is still working through a $433.5 million class-action settlement over its handling of Ant Group’s blocked IPO and subsequent regulatory scrutiny.

📆 Key Timeline
  • Nov 2020: Ant’s IPO suspended; BABA drops 8%.
  • Dec 2020: Antitrust probe sparks 13% single-day drop.
  • Apr 2022: Investors file lawsuit over nondisclosure.
💰 Investor Update
  • Eligibility: Held BABA between 2019-2020
  • Late claims still being accepted, pending court approval
  • Payouts usually arrive 8–12 months after final ruling

👉 You can check more information about it and file for a payout HERE.

As earnings approach and valuation looks appealing, BABA bulls may find opportunity — but regulatory ghosts haven’t faded yet.