1. **Cycles Overview:** - **HWC (Higher-Wave Cycle):** Price is range-bound (fluctuating within a specific range) with no clear direction. - **MWC (Medium-Wave Cycle):** Downtrend. Therefore, the likelihood of continued downward movement is higher. - **LWC (Lower-Wave Cycle):** Range-bound movement. - **Conclusion:** A slight bearish tendency due to overall cycle dynamics.
---
**🔍 Key Breakout Strategy:** My goal is to identify price interactions with resistance and trend lines. Observing these areas helps:
1. **Likelihood of Breakout:** Determine which levels are more likely to break. 2. **Buyer and Seller Strength:** Analyze which group (buyers or sellers) holds more power.
For beginners: a breakout refers to a price moving outside a defined support or resistance level, often signaling a strong directional move.
---
**💎 Long Position Setup:** - **Trend Line Analysis:** - The trend line has multiple touches, increasing the probability of a breakout. - In the **15-minute timeframe**, a decline in volume (a decrease in the number of trades) was observed as the price approached the trend line, indicating potential weakness.
- **Key Considerations:** - Keep the cycles in mind! Given the slight bearish tendency, opening a long position carries higher risk. Ensure proper risk management.
---
**🔻 Short Position Setup:** - **Key Resistance Level:** $0.8587. - **Wait and Observe:** Allow the price to test this level to assess its reaction. Watch for: - Volume spikes, which might indicate a price rejection (when sellers overpower buyers at a certain level). - Confirmation of selling pressure to initiate a short position.
---
**🛑 Risk Management Reminder:** Capital management is the cornerstone of trading success and survival. Reduce risk when market conditions are uncertain, and always adapt your strategy to the current market environment.
---
**✨ Final Thoughts:** This analysis highlights the importance of understanding cycles, volume trends, and price action at key levels. If the price breaks above $0.8587, it could signal a bullish reversal, while rejection at this level may confirm continued bearish pressure.
📢 **Do you agree with this analysis? Share your thoughts or let me know if there’s a specific coin you’d like me to analyze next!** 🪯