Adobe (ADBE) Waterfall

I think Adobe, which has lost more than 32% since the beginning of the year, has a fair value of $522.30. However, as long as the decline continues, we should wait to buy. You can't hold a falling knife. With a break of the moving average or downtrend, I think it will reach its fair value, and with momentum, it may even go up to $620, which is the long-term downtrend. Unless the trend breaks, the decline will continue until the 300s.