Two tempting short setups — but one is hiding real danger

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Which pair would you short?

We’re looking at JCPB/BAB and AGG/GTO, both showing positive deviation and riding the upper Bollinger Band.
At first glance, both look ripe for a short… but dig deeper, and you'll see very different stories.

🔹 JCPB/BAB
Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/4pv9t9uZ/
  • [] Low ADX, balanced DI+ / DI− → classic setup for a mean-reversion short.
    [] But the last daily candle is a strong bullish bar — big, green, and decisive.
    [] This could be the start of a breakout, and shorting into fresh upside momentum is dangerous.
    [] Looks neutral — but hides bullish potential.


🔸 AGG/GTO
Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/YLNzm52F/
  • [] Clear uptrend: DI+ dominates, price marching upward.
    [] Also touching upper Bollinger Band, so yes — shorting here is fighting the trend.
    [] But at least the risk is obvious, and you can frame the trade accordingly.
    [] Transparent trend = measurable risk.


🧠 Bottom line:
  • [] JCPB/BAB may seem safer — but that green candle changes everything.[] AGG/GTO is clearly trending — risky to short, but less deceptive.


👇 So, if you had to short one of these — which would it be?
Drop your take below. Let’s hear your reasoning.

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