AMD breaking out

5月14日

AMD entered the 96 to 115 box like a rocket, and it is now showing a lot of strength after being dormant for a while.

The conditions are now there for a gradual run-up towards the 172 level. If it comes back below the 96 mark, I would argue that the movement has aborted.

5月31日

交易進行

Post-Move Analysis: AMD’s Breakout — A False Start?

1. Entry Into the Range: Clean, Sharp, and Convincing
AMD did break into the $96–115 consolidation box with strong momentum. Volume picked up slightly on the push — matching our criteria for strength. This validated the idea that bulls were back in control and eyes could turn to $130+, then eventually $172.

2. But Breakout Stalled at Resistance
The $115 resistance level acted like a brick wall — price tapped it and failed to hold above. This zone had previously been multiple swing highs and a breakdown level, so it's no surprise supply hit hard here. Instead of continuing higher, AMD rolled over back into the middle of the box — a warning sign that buyers lost momentum.

3. Volume & Momentum Divergence
Volume dried up after the initial breakout — no continuation signal. Likely a fakeout or bull trap unless buyers step back in quickly. Price remains above $96, which means our “aborted” scenario hasn’t fully triggered — but we are clearly at risk.

Updated Interpretation
AMD popped back into the range with force but failed to sustain upward momentum. It’s currently in limbo — not a full failure, but no confirmation of a breakout continuation either.

What Now? Two Scenarios Ahead
Bullish Continuation Still Possible If:
AMD holds $105–108 and reclaims $115 with volume. That confirms this was just a shakeout, and the path toward $130–145 reopens.

Bearish Breakdown If:
AMD fails to hold $105, then breaks under $96 — our “abort” line. That confirms the box breakout failed, and $80 becomes the next magnet.

6月9日

註釋

It's trying again.

3 天前

註釋

AMD Technical Update — June 17, 2025

1. The Range Break Was Real — This Time With Follow-Through
AMD entered and cleared the $96–$115 box like a rocket — confirming strong buying interest. This time, unlike the false breakout in May, price has held and pushed cleanly above $115, clearing multiple supply levels. Current price: $126.40, well above the previous range resistance. This is a structural breakout with more conviction than the prior attempt. Buyers are no longer hesitating at $115.

2. Volume Confirms Conviction
Volume picked up on the breakout above $115, showing accumulation, not distribution. Strong green candles on above-average volume suggest institutional support behind the move. This addresses the key weakness in the previous false start: volume follow-through.

3. Momentum Indicators Turning Up Again
MACD: Bullish cross, histogram turning green again — momentum is returning after consolidation.
RSI: Sitting around 66, just below overbought. No bearish divergence yet — still in healthy territory for a trending move.

Translation: Momentum is constructive and not overheated yet.

4. Next Key Levels (Upside Path)
Now that AMD has broken out, we can project targets using measured move analysis and prior highs:

Near-Term Target:
$130–135: This is the minor supply zone from late February.

Mid-Term Target:
$145: Psychological + technical level from January. This is likely the next major challenge.

Long-Term Target:
$172: Previous ATH. This becomes viable if AMD stays above $115 and builds a base above $130.