7/9/25 - $ampx - Hrm. Got my interest.

7/9/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: AMPX
Hrm. Got my interest.

- high energy, high power lithium ion warez for aviation etc.
- i think what's most interesting are two things
1/ i first came across this in march '24 and said "not interested - bonkers valuation" and in some resepects... for a year... esp given mkt had been ripping, it was awful risk-on reward
2/ NOW, if you look at the revenue #s over that period forward, they basically continuously crushed. and the YoY comps are almost laughably high... >100% growth for the next 2 years. that's, let's get serious... pretty amazing if true
- gross margins improving (lol at these scale growth rates... i'd HOPE)
- and we get to EBITDA breakeven maybe late '26... by '27?
- co doesn't really burn much cash, 30-40 (M) bucks a year... they'll probs need to raise, maybe it gets well-received given px action recently idk.
- definitely serving an interesting niche.
- valuation is basically in no-man's-land
- price action is not only KING, but taking a step back... it can be somewhat justified. this isn't just some vaporware trust-me-bro-quantum-is-the-future-in-2030-BS-situation
- and the chart looks pretty.
- i'm not going to trade this. eventually you get older, you narrow down your arsenal to stuff that is high impact high hit rate... and you stick to it. but i'd consider longing this from a trading perspective. problem is... i have too much discipline at this pt and again, my comp is SES which hasn't really moved, is 10x cheaper (literally) in terms of enterprise value and only 1/2 the revenue and better mgns. so yeah.
- i'm not suggesting this is a short. i'm not gonna buy it. i might buy it lower. i'm no longer doom and gloom like a year ago.
- but no thanks. i still need moarrrr.

V