For AUD/CAD at 0.8811 here, I’d estimate roughly:
Rally above 0.9130 first ~35%
Drop below 0.8492 first ~65%
Why the skew toward the downside?
Recent rejection at 0.9130 – price failed there in late Feb/Mar and again in June, showing that ceiling still holds.
Lower‐high bias – since topping at 0.9130, each bounce has come in lower (now around 0.887 → 0.899 → 0.887), hinting at sellers stepping in earlier.
Momentum cooling – the last few daily candles are firm to the downside with little bullish follow‐through, suggesting a greater chance to test the bottom of the band before tagging the top.
Rally above 0.9130 first ~35%
Drop below 0.8492 first ~65%
Why the skew toward the downside?
Recent rejection at 0.9130 – price failed there in late Feb/Mar and again in June, showing that ceiling still holds.
Lower‐high bias – since topping at 0.9130, each bounce has come in lower (now around 0.887 → 0.899 → 0.887), hinting at sellers stepping in earlier.
Momentum cooling – the last few daily candles are firm to the downside with little bullish follow‐through, suggesting a greater chance to test the bottom of the band before tagging the top.
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這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。