fosis
看空

Possibility of fake breakout after RBA decision.

FX:AUDUSD   澳幣 / 美元
The price has return to the new support line I drew, crossing triangle resistance line (blue). I was hoping that this line will stand, but it hasn't.
So the main point of this chart for me is this big white bullish candle. It has long lower shadow. What caused it?
The RBA interest rate decision to stay at the same level as earlier (2%). Before announcing this, price created big beartrap and caught them.
The long lower shadow candle suggest more upward moves, but there is mid-term resistance line on its way.

Taking all the facts into account, we get 2 possible scenarios.
First one, with higher probability for me, the bulls will push the price to 61,8% fibonnaci retracement, than the sentiment with RBA will cool down, people will take profits and bears will be pushing price lower. Moreover there will be Non Farm Payrolls data for USD and I think this data got to be pro dollar.

The second scenario implies, that the bears will actively defend this resistance line and will push back bulls, creating selling signal.
評論: WTF my particular words were changed to particular stocks...
ZH 繁體中文
EN English
EN English (UK)
EN English (IN)
DE Deutsch
FR Français
ES Español
IT Italiano
PL Polski
SV Svenska
TR Türkçe
RU Русский
PT Português
ID Bahasa Indonesia
MS Bahasa Melayu
TH ภาษาไทย
VI Tiếng Việt
JA 日本語
KO 한국어
ZH 简体中文
AR العربية
HE עברית
首頁 股票篩選器 外匯篩選器 加密貨幣篩選器 全球財經日曆 如何運作 圖表功能 網站規則 版主 網站 & 經紀商解決方案 小工具 圖表庫 功能請求 部落格 & 新聞 常見問題 幫助 & 維基 推特
概述 個人檔案設定 帳戶和帳單 我的支援工單 聯絡客服 發表的想法 粉絲 正在關注 私人訊息 在線聊天 登出