Precision Rejection: AUD/USD Short in Motion

Bias: Bearish
Date: June 23, 2025
Timeframe: 1-Hour

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Market Context:

AUD/USD has retraced back into a 1H supply zone between 0.6480–0.6500, where strong institutional selling occurred previously. The recent bounce from 0.6372 appears corrective, driven by short-term USD softness, but the broader structure remains bearish.

This current move is setting up for a liquidity grab above recent highs, creating the ideal conditions for a lower high rejection and a possible selloff back into a large imbalance zone resting below.

This area holds:
• Buy stops from breakout traders
• Trapped long entries from the recent retracement
• Institutional sell-side liquidity
• A visible imbalance gap down to the 0.61143 region, waiting to be filled

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My Analysis and Bias:

I believe AUD/USD is setting up for a liquidity sweep above 0.6480, followed by a sharp rejection. After confirming a lower high and bearish momentum, I’m expecting a clean break of 0.6430 support and continuation toward the imbalance fill at 0.61143.

This is a smart money setup:
1. Price taps into supply and rejects
2. A lower high forms after sweep
3. Bearish structure breaks below 0.6430
4. Price fills imbalance resting around 0.61143

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Entry Plan:
• Primary Entry: 0.6482–0.6485 after rejection from supply
• Confirmation Tools: Rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle, or break of minor structure
• Stop Loss: Above 0.6517 (protective stop above liquidity sweep zone)

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Take Profit Levels:
• TP1: 0.6430 – Breaker structure
• TP2: 0.6380 – Major support
• TP3: 0.6300 – Secondary liquidity pool
• TP4: 0.61143 – Imbalance fill (final target)

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Execution Plan Summary:
• Entry: 0.6482 after rejection or clear confirmation
• SL: ~0.6517
• TPs: 0.6430 → 0.6380 → 0.6300 → 0.61143
• Risk/Reward: ~10:1 potential based on charted range

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Final Thoughts:

“This is a premium setup built around smart money concepts. Market structure, supply rejection, and imbalance alignment are all here. Once confirmation hits, I’ll execute — no guessing.
Trade simple. Live lavish.”