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AUD/USD Trade Setup (Multi-Timeframe Analysis)

153
Trade Bias: Bearish
Looking at all three timeframes, we're in a bearish cycle on the 4H chart after a recent rejection from the 0.6340-0.6360 resistance zone. On the 1H chart, we can see a recent pullback that may be losing momentum, setting up a potential continuation of the downtrend.
Entry Price: 0.6287
Looking to enter short on the current pullback to the 0.6285-0.6290 zone, which aligns with previous support/resistance levels.
Stop Loss: 0.6320
Placing the stop loss above the recent swing high on the 1H chart, keeping the risk within your 35 pip maximum.
Take Profit Levels:

Primary TP: 0.6235 (Previous support zone from March 8-9)
Extended TP: 0.6190 (Major support from early March)

Risk-to-Reward Ratio:

Primary TP: 1:1.5 (33 pips risk for 52 pips reward)
Extended TP: 1:2.9 (33 pips risk for 97 pips reward)

Trade Rationale:
The AUD/USD shows bearish pressure across multiple timeframes:

On the 4H chart:

Price is in a bearish structure after rejection from the 0.6400 level
Current upward movement appears to be a countertrend pullback
The pair is showing resistance at the 0.6320-0.6340 zone


On the 1H chart:

Failed rally attempt with lower highs being formed
Price is showing resistance near 0.6310-0.6320
Overall structure suggests a potential continuation of the downtrend


On the 15m chart:

Recent bullish momentum appears to be waning
Price is struggling to break above recent resistance levels



Entry Triggers and Trade Management:

Wait for rejection candles at the 0.6285-0.6290 zone (bearish engulfing, shooting star, or doji)
Consider partial profit-taking at the primary target (0.6235)
Move stop loss to breakeven after price moves 25+ pips in favor
Consider trailing stop for the remainder of the position if targeting the extended TP

This bearish setup offers favorable risk-reward while aligning with the multi-timeframe technical structure. The current position of price near resistance levels provides a good entry opportunity with defined risk.

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