6/26/25 - $avav - Sign of the times issue 1001

6/26/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: AVAV
Sign of the times issue 1001

- have long liked this stock (from YEARS ago, and in market years, millenia ago)
- but this move in the last two sessions is clearly an exaggeration
- while i write "short" on this post, don't mean this as "i'm shorting it", even though "yes" it's a short...
- what i mean is that, you can do way better
- even look at HIMS today. sized that up y day. got out +8% today. it's +10% today. people couldn't be bothered y day. now they can't get enough. this is monkey brained mkt.
- now that we're squarely at index ATHs and into month end AND quarter end of what was otherwise a cray cray 1Q and then 2Q... don't be surprised if there's some whacky whiplash in the up coming session
- easy way to play this is to pack more cash, use this market up move to rearrange chairs etc. etc.
- my guess is it all results in a garden variety pull back (i wrote about this two days ago in my S&P post) and it should be bought
- the strong betas (even AVAV *might* qualify from a chart-only perspective) should do well, but leaders like NVDA and the usual (better growth/ margin/ valuation "guns") should do even better and dip gets bot fast
- so just use these sorts of moves to check your logic. don't get carried away

nobody goes broke taking profits
better early than late
(and congrats to the longs here! well earned!)

V