Danone, Quick Trade or Long-term Buy. Both work here.

2021年1月6日

BN is showing signs that it has already bottomed out and on its way up. We have a relatively safe trade here.

• RSI divergence suggests a reversal of trend. It suggests that the low of 29 October 2020 at €46 is the lowest Danone will reach in the short- to mid-term (few months).
  
• An ascending triangle is showing upward momentum. This suggests a target of €60.
  
• At €60, we see strong resistance that has contributed to major reversals in the past. So that's a line to watch. I suspect a reversal at this line back to the top of the triangle.
  
• Just above the €60 line is the 50% Fibonacci level from the recent swing. Crossing this 50% Fib indicates a stronger probability of returning to the swing's top rather than its bottom.
  
• If the resistance at €60 is crossed, then it's a very encouraging sign of the bullish momentum and we set our next target at the resistance above at €65.
  

The trade should go like this:

• You should go long as soon as the triangle breaks upwards, and set a stop loss at either €51.50 or €50.50 depending on your risk appetite.
  
• If the first target of €60 is reached, then we raise our stop loss to the top of the triangle or slightly below it, perhaps at €53.50
  
• Once we cross the resistance at €60 by a full daily green candle above it, we raise our stop loss to that level.
  

Cheers.

2021年1月14日

註釋

Reversal off the bottom of the triangle. Looks like a good entry.

2021年2月18日

手動結束交易

It appears Danone is too weak to even break above the first resistance, let alone the farther one I marked 'strong resistance'.
I can't comment on this as a long-term investment, but as a trade, I call it off.