BTC Dominance in consolidation. Altseason will have to wait.

2024年7月12日

As you can see in the chart, BTC dominance is showing a pennant flag consolidation pattern. This might give some relief to the altcoins that are bleeding, but unfortunately, this pattern is a bullish one, and BTC dominance could grow up to 57% before having a pullback.

Do your own research (DYOR). I hope I am wrong since I own a lot of altcoins, but that is what I see in the chart.

2024年7月24日

註釋

Everything is following the play, the BTC dominance pumped over the resistance line and made it a support.

2024年7月25日

註釋

As a rule, remember that BTC always dumps less than altcoins. So when MT.Gox sells their 190k BTC, whales know that BTC will drop by -5% to -10%, but altcoins will drop by -30%. Bitcoin dominance grows because people either sell and keep their funds in USDT (causing USDT dominance to grow) or move their funds into BTC to avoid the painful altcoin drop.

However, when the market recovers, altcoins can gain +30% or more, which is when investors buy back their altcoins at a low price and make more profits. During the recovery, USDT and BTC dominance decrease.

This phenomenon exacerbates the altcoin dump, making it harder to endure. But knowing this, investors should not be worried about a sudden drop in total market capitalization, as it is temporary and just a normal money fluctuation.

2024年8月6日

註釋

This idea is playing out as forecasted. Now we should get a bounce down, and altcoins should recover.

2024年8月13日

註釋

Finally, BTC dominance is falling. Let see if it continues. Hopefully it will help some good altcoins to restore confidence to their investors.
All is moving according to the plan. An invalidation would be BTC pumping over %56 again from where it is now.

2024年9月10日

註釋

So far so good! The chart is following my expectation. Now let see if we get a rejection. That would be awesome for the altcoin and will confirm my prediction.