Two Ideal Scenarios for Alts

2024年2月13日

The weekly uptrend was lost, it is showing some signs of exhaustion, and may correct soon in a way that could be beneficial to alts.

Scenario # 1 - Bitcoin Dom gets stopped for the 3rd time at 54.1%, and moves down to make a final / higher low above 48.7 (still a lower low from its recent weekly low). Then it turns up hard to break through 54.1 on its 4th attempt after showing strength above 48.7-50%.

- this situation means a more immediate run for alts, but it won't last nearly as long and btc will quickly dominate again.

Scenario # 2 - we see a temporary break above 54.1 that goes near the center of weekly resistance and the bottom of the white diagonal trendline drawn on the chart. It gets rejected here and then follows the same path as Scenario 1 from there.

- alts would have to wait a bit longer to get a slightly longer and stronger run vs. btc before it dominates again.

Note that it is also possible that dominance turning down just means a correction for the market, instead.

2024年2月13日

交易進行

Here's a zoomed in view:

2024年2月16日

交易進行

So far getting stopped at 54, the higher low above 48.6 could be around this other trendline at 51%, here's another view how the uptrend is weakening:

2024年2月16日

註釋

Also, below are some examples of alts bottoming vs. a temp btc.d top here - eth/btc and hbar/btc overlaid on the chart:

2024年2月22日

交易進行

Alts have begun to move up as dominance has reacted at weekly resistance again, still expecting it will turn up and break through eventually though: