KTAS

Bitcoin extended correction scenario

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BITFINEX:BTCUSD   比特幣
I anticipate Bitcoins two years bull run is coming to an end, and will continue to slowly correct over the coming weeks.

Chart above is a possible scenario.

BTC is hanging by a hair on 1D 50 Moving Average which also aligns with a trendline that's been holding for now.

We saw a touch yesterday, and we'll likely see a break in the coming hours.

Breaking 1D 50MA support will take us straight to 11 - 12.5k area which needs to prove another strong bounce by the bulls in order to avoid another big correction.

If 11.5 - 12.5k area is not able to hold, i expect a further downward movement which will take us to 9.5 - 10k area.
Here lies the 100D MA and another important trendline we previously have seen strong bounces from.

9.5 - 10k support area will likely produce a good bounce. Bulls might be able to take it higher than .5 fib and try to turn the trend back to bullish. I believe odds are it won't succeed and will dump further to the bear target in a massive panic sell off, all across the crypto market.

Bear target: 6.5k
Extended fib target: 5k

Remember News doesn't move markets, but they catalyst events that's bound to happen.
That said, we are seeing a lot of FUD all across the board which also speaks for a bear scenario.
交易進行:
It's starting
評論:
Well defended bulls, 13.3k holds for now.
Likely a 16k test will be followed now, and then we see wether we go higher or lower from there.
交易進行:
First target hit, It's very likely we will see a bounce from this area.
交易進行:
Reckoning day is here.
交易進行:
All on track.
交易結束:目標達成:
Target hit, likely pullback to 10k from here,
評論:
Extended target looks like a reasonable final target for this correction.
Prepare for the final bear run.

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