The last high was a LOWER high from the previous high, which still supports a down direction. If price finds strong support at the 200 and bounces up that would form a HIGHER low which might start supporting an uptrend. However for a real change we'd have to see price break through the (Pink line). By my system the 12 (Blue) would also have to cross over the 36 (Red) to the upside.
Since nobody can predict the future we just have to keep patient and watch the moves.