Bitcoin - Market outlook for the upcoming weeks

3月13日

Liquidity Sweep of the Last 4-Hour Low

Last week, Bitcoin pulled a classic sell-side liquidity sweep by breaking below the last 4-hour low. This move likely targeted stop-loss orders placed by long traders and trapped breakout sellers. The price dipped sharply below this key level but quickly reversed upward, signaling a potential bullish reversal. Such movements are often orchestrated by institutional players or "smart money" to accumulate liquidity before driving the market in their desired direction

Key characteristics of this liquidity sweep include:

• Key Liquidity Zone: The 4-hour low acted as a critical support level where many traders had stop-loss orders.
  
• Sharp Price Spike Below: The price briefly dipped below this level, triggering stop-losses and enticing short sellers.
  
• Aggressive Reversal: Following the sweep, the price rebounded strongly, forming bullish rejection candles on lower timeframes. This confirms the sweep and suggests that smart money may now push prices higher
  

Resistance Zone and Current Market Structure

The current resistance level is marked by the blue zone, which represents a key imbalance area. For the bullish reversal to gain momentum, Bitcoin must break above this resistance convincingly.
A breakout above this zone would:

• Confirm a shift in market structure to bullish.
  
• Likely lead to a retest of the resistance zone as new support (a common breakout strategy).
  
• Open the door for further upside movement toward higher targets.
  

However, if Bitcoin fails to break above this resistance, it could indicate continued consolidation or even another test of lower levels.

Impact of Today’s PPI Data
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Producer Price Index for final demand was unchanged in February 2025, seasonally adjusted. This figure came in below economists expectations of a 0.3% increase. Even tho Bitcoin did not react to this right now, it could still show some signs later.

Conclusion
The sell-side liquidity sweep below the last 4-hour low is a textbook example of smart money manipulation, setting the stage for a potential bullish reversal. Traders should closely monitor the blue resistance zone for signs of a breakout or rejection. Additionally, today’s PPI data adds another layer of complexity to market dynamics, potentially swaying sentiment depending on whether it signals inflationary pressures or relief.

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3月15日

交易進行

Bitcoin got rejected from the zone once more, lets see if it will retrace deeper or test again