instead of abc correction, 1-5 wave count bearish to 7k?

instead of an abc correction this could be a 1-5 bearish wave count trend reversal. I say this because the market is way past abc timing. if this is the case market could dip to 7k (and below) as wave 1-5 timing goes on until feb 8th/9th. however it is currently testing a major line of support and I'm not crazy about the current wave counting but trend based fibonnaci time zones has me thinking the former...let's see.