Ungovernable

Short-lived pullback before 200k

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INDEX:BTCUSD   比特幣
As you know, I'm always trying to find things that happen in both 2013 & 2017 before having conviction that what we're seeing is nothing different than before.

Since the reversals as the beginning of each chart shows, we've been following a pretty well paved path. The current pullback seems to remain along that path.

Similarities:

1: As we test & play around with the 1.618 log-based fib which is around the previous ATH, we have a short-lived pullback before an uptrend is recovered slowly again.
2: The sideways action lasts 3 days in 2017 and 4 days in 2013 before continuing on with an uptrend.
3: The RSI dropped to 38 in 2013 and 37 in 2017. We're struck right in between there this time.
4: Percentages aren't similar between the cycles, but I'll note them anyway: 25% drop in 2013 and 7% drop in 2017. We're currently at 10.5%

To see my convictions on why we'll see 200k+, see my related ideas. I think they'll persuade you as well.

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