比特幣

4 year cycle inversion possibility

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Currently as it stands bitcoin's 4th cycle printed right translation (after Nov '25), market participants now are looking for where the top is going to be year 3 of the cycle. Based off of previous cycles we'd look for a November of 2026, 4 year cycle low.

The main scenarios currently being considered

1. March local top, consolidation until October blow off
2. March top, lower high in October
3. Steady climb until

A 4th scenario not often talked about is a cycle inversion in 2025. If a sell off of risk assets forcing the 4 year monthly cycle to invert where we would start the new 4 year cycle in 2025.

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