Hello Traders,
Today I will be discussing the formation of a Bear Flag and what this means for Bitcoin.
- As you can see on the chart BTC has been consolidating in an "Ascending" parallel channel since January.
1) An ascending formation is typically a Bearish signal.
2) In conjunction with the downtrend from the highs at $69K in November, this creates a bear flag.
- Now I'm sure some of you may be wondering... Well BTC consolidated last year in a channel before the massive pump to $69K, so won't Bitcoin do the same this time? - The answer is no.
- Last year Bitcoin consolidated in a "Descending" channel which is typically Bullish.
- As expected BTC pumped coming out of that Bullish consolidation.
- This time BTC has created a Bear Flag and has a much higher probability of continuing lower before hitting previous ATH's.
So what does this mean for BTC? Here are the 3 possibilities I see playing out..
1) (Highest Probability) BTC retests the
36K support level
2) (Medium Probability) BTC retests the
29K support level
3) (Lowest Probability) BTC retest the $20K support level.
I want to emphasize... Patterns have a certain probability of playing out. Bear flags have a relatively high probability of playing out and BTC has formed a textbook Bear Flag. This means the probability of BTC breaking down and even hitting $20K are still relatively high. Sometimes you have to zoom out and look at the bigger picture. I'm sure a lot of you will be discouraged by this, but think of how incredible it would be to accumulate BTC back at $20K!?
Good luck everyone and happy trading!
Today I will be discussing the formation of a Bear Flag and what this means for Bitcoin.
- As you can see on the chart BTC has been consolidating in an "Ascending" parallel channel since January.
1) An ascending formation is typically a Bearish signal.
2) In conjunction with the downtrend from the highs at $69K in November, this creates a bear flag.
- Now I'm sure some of you may be wondering... Well BTC consolidated last year in a channel before the massive pump to $69K, so won't Bitcoin do the same this time? - The answer is no.
- Last year Bitcoin consolidated in a "Descending" channel which is typically Bullish.
- As expected BTC pumped coming out of that Bullish consolidation.
- This time BTC has created a Bear Flag and has a much higher probability of continuing lower before hitting previous ATH's.
So what does this mean for BTC? Here are the 3 possibilities I see playing out..
1) (Highest Probability) BTC retests the
2) (Medium Probability) BTC retests the
3) (Lowest Probability) BTC retest the $20K support level.
I want to emphasize... Patterns have a certain probability of playing out. Bear flags have a relatively high probability of playing out and BTC has formed a textbook Bear Flag. This means the probability of BTC breaking down and even hitting $20K are still relatively high. Sometimes you have to zoom out and look at the bigger picture. I'm sure a lot of you will be discouraged by this, but think of how incredible it would be to accumulate BTC back at $20K!?
Good luck everyone and happy trading!
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免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。