similar retracement 2017 prior to epic bull run

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take a look at what happened when BTC price approached the long term trendline in june of 2017 prior to the epic bull run.

註釋

ok i'm calling long here, and i put my money where my mouth is (and no, not because of the fun little comparison with 2017). here's why:

(1) i've been eyeing this -43k support level since we topped last month (see 4/19 BTC idea, i don't have it linked). it's a strong level. 3x buy pressure picks up right where 3x short pressure drops off. i don't think there are many traders who believe price will drop below 20k, so there's a strong case for 2x longs anywhere below 40k. yes there's a fair share of FUD in the air, but i don't see bears winning this one.

(2) big picture, i think the upside far outweighs the downside here. the most likely bearish scenario is -25% to -50% before the end of this year. but the bullish scenario is +200%. i'll take that bet.

註釋

buckle up, should be an epic fight here...

註釋

exactly 40% now. bulls nowhere to be found at the moment.

註釋

>50%. this tops any correction from the prior bull run. need to go all the way back to 2013 where there were a number of retracements >50%. back then, the market cap was 1000x smaller than it is now, so naturally impulses/corrections were more abrupt and more pronounced. this behemoth moves a lot slower than it used to (hard to believe).