Like usual, Bitcoin is respecting fib retracement levels.
It seems we're consolidation on the $620-$700 range. A breakout of that area will possibly take us to our first target of $750 and if it breaks that it could hit our second target of $800 which is a long term and strong resistance. Breaking 800 would be extremely bullish but I would expect a pullback first.
Target 1 and 2 calculated through fib extension and are also important psychological barriers given they're strong resistance levels and round numbers.
We could work this out more than 1 way:
Wait for breakout of the Consolidation Range + increase in volume. Dont forget no volume is a sign of possible pullback and failure to break through resistance. This would be the safest trade imo.
Buy anything below the 61% retracement level, meaning below $660, go long and stop near the $620 area. This would be the more risky but profitable trade.
Risk/Reward ratio between 2 and 4 seems nice. Risking <$40 per coin for potential $100 (1st target around $750) or $150 (2nd target around $800) profit.
Pros: - Less than 1 week for the halving - Bull trend
Cons: - Could be a sell the news event. Longs get squeezed. Dumb money gets scared because they might see price dropping during the halving. Remember in their head halving day and following days == moon, so they might get scared and loose confidence upon a dump. This would be a nice buying opportunity.
Note: Halving day/week doesn't necessarily mean the price will explode. It might take some time for the reduced amount of coins miners dump to take an effect on the market.