Every cycle, when the weekly 233 EMA crosses above the weekly 200 MA, shortly after there is a circa 30% drawdown. That is happening now and is normal but feels more intense because 30% of 100k is bigger than entire price range of 2017 cycle.
2013 - 2017 cycle
• 136 weeks from top to halving
• 48 weeks to 233/200 cross
• 37% dump from cross swing high
• 26 weeks to 2017 cycle top
2017 - 2021 cycle
• 126 weeks from 2017 top to halving
• 41 weeks to 233/200 cross
• 31% dump from cross swing high
• 42 weeks to cycle top
2021 - Now
• 127 weeks from top to halving
• 41 weeks to 233/200 cross
• 28% dump from cross swing high so far
• Estimted hitting upper band - late October early November if cycle follows previous
Bought more BTC last night at 81.1k
2013 - 2017 cycle
• 136 weeks from top to halving
• 48 weeks to 233/200 cross
• 37% dump from cross swing high
• 26 weeks to 2017 cycle top
2017 - 2021 cycle
• 126 weeks from 2017 top to halving
• 41 weeks to 233/200 cross
• 31% dump from cross swing high
• 42 weeks to cycle top
2021 - Now
• 127 weeks from top to halving
• 41 weeks to 233/200 cross
• 28% dump from cross swing high so far
• Estimted hitting upper band - late October early November if cycle follows previous
Bought more BTC last night at 81.1k
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。