Just looking at the current trend in relationship to the black support trend line (formed from low supports from 200 days prev.) and the current downtrend that broke down from the head and shoulder pattern.
If BTC moves and completes the symmetrical distance of the Head (from the h/s pattern) it will reach about the same support line in black, which is about 5200. There is still volatility and overselling as we can see from the bollingers, and the converging 50EMA in orange, closing in on the 200EMA in purple, signifies a bigger bear trend is to come, hopefully not that much lower than 5200.

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