Bitcoin Cycle Low - Risky Countertrade

2019年12月17日

I think bitcoin may be making a cycle low soon so I will attempt to long a countertrade. Looking for a trade near a double bottom under $6650 and then potentially lower, so I will likely take multiple trades but will need to see a start of a bear market rally and I'll be quick to take profit and move my stops.

I forgot to mention today is a TD 9 so it would be a good day to find a low. No guarantee of course. But decent confluence of cycles and TD.

Countertrading a trend is risky. Be careful.

2019年12月17日

註釋

Also wanted to add that this $6300 area would be interesting because it was a monthly close last fall, multiple monthly opens and obviously part of a major support area. Would be a another good spot and give us a clear cycle low in the short term without totally dumping below 6k

2019年12月18日

註釋

We now have a clear new low late in the cycle. Since the low was fast and generated a big bounce, I took a trade here long. The key area is that red line, the previous low. This is a trade to attempt to enter the new cycle using short term TA. This trade idea is based on the potential for this to be a stop run below the lows so I want to see this trade hold the red line. My stop is at today's low

The risk her is that these pumps that immediately sell off have a tendency to leak down and lead to new lows so if that happens, I get out of the trade and wait for the next opportunity.