The Bitcoin bull has been resting for a while, and it may be ready to run again soon.
Technical Analysis
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Technical Analysis
- Bitcoin consolidated within a narrowing range, shaping a potential Bullish Falling Wedge, a continuation pattern that typically precedes an upside breakout. Closing above 121,000 would confirm the bullish structure and signal trend continuation.
- RSI below 70 suggest a potential of another leg up
- If the upward breakout is confirmed, the next upside target is near 133,000, aligning with the 261.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
- However, a close below 113,000 would invalidate this outlook and may need a reassessment.
Fundamental Analysis - Bitcoin traded sideways-down ahead of the FOMC, then rebounded sharply as policy clarity eased uncertainty. Despite the Fed’s hawkish tone, renewed confidence drove flows back into Bitcoin.
- ETF inflows continue to provide strong support. According to Farside.co.uk, Bitcoin ETFs have seen total inflows of $55 billion since their launch early last year, with $20 billion coming in just this year (through the end of July), showing no slowdown in momentum.
- Treasury Reserve Corporate adoption continues, led by Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), Metaplanet, and GameStop, with over 135–250 non-crypto firms adding Bitcoin as a reserve asset.
- On the regulatory front, the GENIUS Act is seen as a significant positive development, offering much-needed clarity and enabling institutional investors and ETFs to gain crypto exposure with greater confidence—supporting Bitcoin indirectly.
- Miners are hoarding BTC amid high prices, limiting supply and reinforcing upward pressure on the market.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
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