DeGRAM | BTCUSD fixed above the $104,000 level

6月2日

📊 Technical Analysis
● Bulls twice defended the 103-105 k demand and purple trend-line, turning the zone into a springboard; price also reclaimed the inner grey trend-median, preserving higher-lows in the 7-week rising channel.
● A fresh ascending triangle is coiling under 111 k; pattern height projects to the red 112-115 k supply/channel roof once 111 k gives way, while invalidation rises with the trend-line at 103 k.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● CoinShares reports a third straight week of spot-ETF inflows (+US$1 bn) and the BTC exchange reserve just printed a new 3-year low, signalling supply squeeze. Meanwhile, ISM manufacturing slipped back below 50, cooling U.S. yields and the DXY and reviving crypto appetite.

✨ Summary
Long 104-106 k; triangle break >111 k targets 112 k → 115 k. Bull view void on a 16 h close beneath 103 k.

6月3日

交易進行

📊 Technical Analysis
● After a brief dip, price reclaimed the channel mid-line and closed three consecutive 4 h candles above the 105 k liquidity shelf, confirming it as fresh support and resetting the series of higher-lows.
● A tightening bull flag is forming between the purple trend-line and 106.8 k cap; flag depth points to the 112-115 k resistance band at the upper rail once 107 k is cleared.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● ETF trackers show US spot products absorbed another 6 400 BTC since Friday, while exchange balances hit a 38-month low, signalling further supply contraction amid softening US yields after dovish FOMC remarks.

✨ Summary
Buy 104.5-106 k; flag breakout >107 k targets 112 k, stretch 115 k. Long bias void on a 4 h close below 103 k.

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