1) We are on Elliott's wave "a". 2) Wave "a" will be overextended and will reach 100% retracement. 3) BTC is forming the head of a SHS
Thus, the SHS gives us the estimate of the final downward movement and Elliott gives us the following waves "b" and "c". Both observations confluence a decline in the price of BTC back to 40K resistance in about 25 days.
Notes: The circle in orange indicates the usual 61.8% retracement of "a" wave. The circle in green is where 100% retracement would be expected to make the SHS formation effective.