BTC/USDT is currently in a short-term neutral to bearish phase on the 1H chart.
The overall structure shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, signaling a primary downtrend.
🔍 Technical Indicator Overview
RSI (14):
Current value: 44.6 → Neutral (no divergence).
RSI dipped as low as 25.1 earlier (02:05 UTC), but there was no sustained recovery.
MACD (12,26,9):
Histogram: -7.9173, signaling bearish momentum.
Last bullish crossover (02:40 UTC) did not hold.
MACD remaining flat while price makes lower lows may indicate weakening bearish momentum
ATR (14):
Current: 102.07 → Declining, suggests lower volatility and potential consolidation.
Volume:
Well below average, adding to the low-conviction price movement.
📉 Key Price Levels
Support Zones:
$103,400–$103,500: Multi-tested today → Short-term support cluster.
$103,200: Next key support, psychological + previous reaction zone.
Resistance Zones:
$104,000: Multiple intraday rejections today.
$104,500–$104,600: Strong resistance (yesterday’s high).
MACD Divergence Observation:
Price made lower lows, but MACD remained flat = Potential momentum weakening.
🎯 Educational Scenarios
Scenario A – Sideways Consolidation:
Holding above $103,400 → Range-bound between $103,400–$104,000 likely.
Scenario B – Support Breakdown:
Break below $103,400 with volume → Potential drop toward $103,200.
Scenario C – Bullish Breakout:
Close above $104,000 with RSI >50 and volume spike → Could retest $104,600.
Scenario D – Extended Bearish Case:
Failure to hold $103,200 → May test $102,800 (May 13 low).
⚠️ Risk Considerations
Low ATR (<110) = Higher false breakout probability.
Confirm any breakout with volume surge.
Neutral setups = wait for confirmation before directional bias.
📚 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Designed to help viewers learn how to read indicators and chart structures objectively based on current market behavior.
The overall structure shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, signaling a primary downtrend.
🔍 Technical Indicator Overview
RSI (14):
Current value: 44.6 → Neutral (no divergence).
RSI dipped as low as 25.1 earlier (02:05 UTC), but there was no sustained recovery.
MACD (12,26,9):
Histogram: -7.9173, signaling bearish momentum.
Last bullish crossover (02:40 UTC) did not hold.
MACD remaining flat while price makes lower lows may indicate weakening bearish momentum
ATR (14):
Current: 102.07 → Declining, suggests lower volatility and potential consolidation.
Volume:
Well below average, adding to the low-conviction price movement.
📉 Key Price Levels
Support Zones:
$103,400–$103,500: Multi-tested today → Short-term support cluster.
$103,200: Next key support, psychological + previous reaction zone.
Resistance Zones:
$104,000: Multiple intraday rejections today.
$104,500–$104,600: Strong resistance (yesterday’s high).
MACD Divergence Observation:
Price made lower lows, but MACD remained flat = Potential momentum weakening.
🎯 Educational Scenarios
Scenario A – Sideways Consolidation:
Holding above $103,400 → Range-bound between $103,400–$104,000 likely.
Scenario B – Support Breakdown:
Break below $103,400 with volume → Potential drop toward $103,200.
Scenario C – Bullish Breakout:
Close above $104,000 with RSI >50 and volume spike → Could retest $104,600.
Scenario D – Extended Bearish Case:
Failure to hold $103,200 → May test $102,800 (May 13 low).
⚠️ Risk Considerations
Low ATR (<110) = Higher false breakout probability.
Confirm any breakout with volume surge.
Neutral setups = wait for confirmation before directional bias.
📚 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Designed to help viewers learn how to read indicators and chart structures objectively based on current market behavior.
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免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。