BTC Market Update by SatochiTrader
EVERY CRASH DID START WITH A FALSE INCREASE TREND.
Depending on the market sentiment and price action, BTC is currently showing strength with a positive trend. However, based on deeper data and insights held by myself and a small group of early-cycle followers, this current movement may be a deceptive signal — potentially foreshadowing a major crash.
This is not trading advice. Those who are confident in the long position should continue, and those on the other side should stay prepared as well.
We have previously explained that the current cycle appears to have ended. Since 2013, BTC has consistently respected its macro cycle targets. The end of such a cycle typically leads to significant corrections.
A cycle ending implies not just a retracement, but the potential for a major crash. Hedge funds and real BTC whales understand the underlying indicators and risks at play. Our expectation remains clear: BTC may soon fall below the 100K level, with $85K identified as a critical support and target zone.
Stay sharp. Stay informed. The market may look bullish — until it isn't.
The best way to follow BTC is not the news.. but the cycle overview.
This update is an education update, which means the high expectations of the upcoming correction for BTC.
Compared to last quarter, miners are now less severely underpaid, though profitability remains low
EVERY CRASH DID START WITH A FALSE INCREASE TREND.
Depending on the market sentiment and price action, BTC is currently showing strength with a positive trend. However, based on deeper data and insights held by myself and a small group of early-cycle followers, this current movement may be a deceptive signal — potentially foreshadowing a major crash.
This is not trading advice. Those who are confident in the long position should continue, and those on the other side should stay prepared as well.
We have previously explained that the current cycle appears to have ended. Since 2013, BTC has consistently respected its macro cycle targets. The end of such a cycle typically leads to significant corrections.
A cycle ending implies not just a retracement, but the potential for a major crash. Hedge funds and real BTC whales understand the underlying indicators and risks at play. Our expectation remains clear: BTC may soon fall below the 100K level, with $85K identified as a critical support and target zone.
Stay sharp. Stay informed. The market may look bullish — until it isn't.
The best way to follow BTC is not the news.. but the cycle overview.
This update is an education update, which means the high expectations of the upcoming correction for BTC.
Compared to last quarter, miners are now less severely underpaid, though profitability remains low
註釋
BTC did end the cycle in this area, and did not meet the cycle rule of 1.2 time frame to enter new cycle, on this reason also BTC has high chance to return back below 100KEvery BTC cycle did confirm the 1.2 time frame, and we expect this should also, what not happen, which means that this is a false increase trend that can return asp to the start point.
註釋
Based on our analysis using the 1.2 timeframe and cycle data, our primary expectation is that BTC will drop below $100K. Although BTC currently appears strong within the 1.2 data window, we are approaching the end of a cycle — with no confirmation of a new one starting.This suggests that the current long volume may be misleading — a potential false signal — and could lead to a renewed downtrend, pushing BTC below the $100K level. Hedge funds and major whales should pay close attention to the 1.2 pattern, as it has historically repeated itself with BTC.
註釋
BTC looks very bullish and green, but the deep data shows what else.註釋
BTC is at the top. The coming time is important after the end of cycle 2025.註釋
Even with the increases that we see now up 108K. BTC can start the correction at any time.We have seen this more time in the history of btc after false volume.
註釋
Daily miner revenue is dropping sharply; this could lead to a major price panic.There are some signals that we will get a miner effect which can change drop the price.
Potential domino effect
If many miners can no longer operate profitably, they may be forced to shut down or sell their machines. This could lead to a decline in the network (lower hashrate), reduced security, and potentially further downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price.
註釋
Extremely underpaid miners can play a role in this, expecting an upcoming crash.免責聲明
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免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。