Daily Market Outlook: BTC & Forex Setups (#1)

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From today, I’ll be sharing daily BTC & Forex market breakdowns, covering key levels, potential trade setups, and insights into market psychology. These won’t just be standard analyses—I’ll also include the setups I personally take and why.
Let’s get straight into today’s breakdown. 🔥

📌 BTC Daily & 4H Analysis
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BTC has held the $95K support zone well, but volume remains extremely low. The doji candles forming on the daily indicate market indecision and lack of strong buying or selling pressure.

📊 Key Takeaways:
Order books are thin, meaning any slight increase in volume could trigger a sharp, volatile move.
I’m favoring long positions, as they align with the higher timeframe trend.

Key Levels to Watch:
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🎯 High-Risk Entry: $98,506 – Offers high R/R and a chance to hold the trade longer toward a potential breakout of $107K.
Safer 4H Entry: $106K – More conservative but ensures confirmation.
Major Daily Breakout Trigger: $108,660 – Expect high momentum, so it’s better to anticipate the move rather than react late.

📌 DXY Analysis – Key to Forex Market Movement
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The Dollar Index (DXY) remains in a major uptrend, but momentum is weakening, making its movement more uncertain.

📊 Key Levels:
If 107.288 - 107.443 fails as support, expect a deeper correction.
Otherwise, DXY remains bullish, which could pressure risk assets.

📌 GBP/CHF 4H – Breakout Play
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GBP/CHF is currently ranging on the daily timeframe, but on 4H, we have a clear range box.

📊 Potential Trade Setups:
Long above 1.13121 🎯 – If resistance breaks, target higher levels.
Short below 1.12326 🔻 – If support fails, expect further downside.
Bias: Since the previous fake breakdown failed, I see a bullish breakout as the more likely scenario.

📌 JP225 – Channel Uptrend Setup
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JP225 is trending within an ascending channel and recently faked a breakdown before reclaiming higher levels.

📊 Trade Plan:
Breakout of 38,949 → Go long if confirmed.
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Major Risk Event: US Inflation Data (Wednesday) – Could bring major volatility, so trade with caution.

📌 Market is in a decision-making phase—don’t FOMO, wait for confirmation.
📌 Wednesday’s CPI data could be a key volatility trigger.
📌 Stick to your trading plan & manage risk properly.

🔔 See you tomorrow for the next breakdown! Stay sharp.

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