US deaths... Following the IHME model from April 1

2020年4月5日

This is a very rough approximation of the IHME predictive model of deaths in the US due to COVID-19. I think many still fail to see the scale of the problem. Will be interesting to follow the data as this crisis unfolds.

2020年4月8日

註釋

Seems like the IHME model keeps getting rolled back every couple of days. As of today, 4/8, the 50th percentile for number of deaths has been decreased to 60,000. I'm going to keep following this model from 4/1, but I suspect there are errors in the model decreasing it's usefulness in predicting resources needed.