Dow Roadmap Nov 2022

2022年11月12日

It has not been a bad year for the old Dow..old people are wise and have no tech :).

2022年12月2日

註釋

In the box. Lets see how it goes

2022年12月17日

註釋

Red box encounter proved to be deadly :)

2023年2月24日

註釋

Dow still cannot recover from the meeting with the Red Box. Old age, what can you do

2023年2月24日

註釋

Dec lowest closing low of Dow was 32758. One very important indicator i have learnt from Jeff Saut, the long time Chief Strategist of RJ, is the Hooper rule: If the December lowest closing low is broken in the 1Q of next year, it is a bad sign for the market. Well, we are close and March is ahead

2023年2月25日

註釋

The worst case scenario was Dow is in the vicinity of the Dec 2018 low, so peak to trough 40/41% decline over 2 years which is fine. Will track as we go

2023年3月10日

註釋

Dow closes the week below the Dec low and turns the trend across all important timeframes to negative. Which implies that the high made in Dec could stay for many, many months. The encounter with the Red Box was scary

2023年3月14日

註釋

In contrast to Dow, SPX/NDX have a still slightly more positive structure which leads to this sideways congestion