📈 Most Likely Probability: Neutral-to-Slightly Bullish Bias
🔍 Supporting Fundamentals:
Stronger-than-expected NFP: Suggests economic resilience → supports dollar strength.
Fed holding rates steady (but no dovish pivot): Keeps real yields relatively attractive → supports demand for USD.
Tariff/trade calm: Reduces tail risk, but also reduces safe-haven flow → slightly neutral.
📉 Limiting Fundamentals:
Calmer global risk sentiment and improved outlook in emerging markets may reduce dollar inflows.
No fresh hawkish push from the Fed = limited fuel for strong breakout.
📊 Technical Outlook (DXY near 100.00):
Key Support: ~99.70–100.00 (9-day EMA + psychological support)
Key Resistance: ~100.50–101.00 zone
Momentum: Slight recovery attempts with weakening bearish momentum
If the DXY holds above 99.70 and breaks above 100.50, a move toward 101.00 is likely next week. Failing to hold 99.70 could open a pullback toward 99.00.
🔍 Supporting Fundamentals:
Stronger-than-expected NFP: Suggests economic resilience → supports dollar strength.
Fed holding rates steady (but no dovish pivot): Keeps real yields relatively attractive → supports demand for USD.
Tariff/trade calm: Reduces tail risk, but also reduces safe-haven flow → slightly neutral.
📉 Limiting Fundamentals:
Calmer global risk sentiment and improved outlook in emerging markets may reduce dollar inflows.
No fresh hawkish push from the Fed = limited fuel for strong breakout.
📊 Technical Outlook (DXY near 100.00):
Key Support: ~99.70–100.00 (9-day EMA + psychological support)
Key Resistance: ~100.50–101.00 zone
Momentum: Slight recovery attempts with weakening bearish momentum
If the DXY holds above 99.70 and breaks above 100.50, a move toward 101.00 is likely next week. Failing to hold 99.70 could open a pullback toward 99.00.
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免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。