Macro Moves & Market Reversals: BTC-Metals-Tech-Dollar & more!

🤖📊 Macro Moves & Market Reversals: Bitcoin, Metals, Tech, Dollar & DAX Breakdown 🔥💹
Hey beautiful people,
FXPROFESSOR here with a massive market update to kick off the week. This one’s for my serious traders—those of you ready to read the market like a pro 📚💡

We’re in a critical transition. The Trump–Powell standoff, rate cut games, tariff escalations, and a surprising shift in risk appetite across bonds, metals, and equities are reshaping the entire trading landscape.

Let’s get into the full breakdown 👇

🧠 MACRO FIRST – THE FUNDAMENTAL PULSE
🟢 Interest Rates:
The Fed is keeping rates steady at 4.25%–4.50%, citing strong jobs data. 147K jobs added, unemployment at 4.1%. The market wanted bad news for rate cuts... didn’t get it.
🗓 September remains the most likely cut, but the Fed isn’t rushing. Strong labor = slow policy change.

⚠️ Tariffs Heating Up:
Trump just slapped 25–40% tariffs on imports from Japan, Korea, and others – effective August 1.
➡️ If no political resolution by July 9, prepare for a volatility wave.
Tariffs = supply chain risks + cost-push inflation.

💣 Geopolitics:
Middle East tensions remain background noise, but no major disruptions for now. Still, oil remains sensitive.

📈 Risk Appetite (Bonds):
U.S. Treasuries still lagging, but junk bonds and quality credit (LQD) have pumped. That’s a big clue: risk appetite is returning, even without a Fed pivot.

📉 DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) – "THE YEAR OF THE NORMALIZED DOLLAR"
We’ve followed this dollar short all year.
🔻 From rejection at 100.965, DXY dropped straight into our long-term 94–95 target zone.
📌 Now what? This level is MAJOR. A bounce could trap dollar bears.
🧭 No new short from me unless we re-tag 100+. The juice is squeezed.

Key takeaway:
The dollar already priced in rate cuts, and we didn’t even get them. That’s telling me the next macro move might not be so predictable.

💰 BITCOIN – STILL THE KING
📍 BTC at $115K resistance – a level I’ve charted for years, not weeks.
Three hits:

1️⃣ First rejection

2️⃣ Second rejection

3️⃣ And now... a decisive moment

🚨 Break 115K → BTC flies.
📉 Fail here → we could revisit $64K, yes, seriously. I’m ready for both outcomes.
This is not the time for hopium. It’s 50/50.

🪙 BTC DOMINANCE – THE ALTCOIN SWITCH
BTC.D is now above 65%. That means:
✔️ Capital flowing back into BTC
❌ Altcoins not ready yet
We don’t chase alts until BTC.D hits 71.3–72.9%. That’s the real “altseason trigger zone.”

🔒 I’m personally turned off from alts for now—too much noise, too many memes, not enough macro support.

🔩 PRECIOUS METALS – SHINING BRIGHT
💛 Gold (XAU/USD):

Reached near $3,500 highs

Now stalling
🛑 Taking profits here – caution warranted.

🤍 Silver (XAG/USD):

13-year high

Holding $36+ well

Potential breakout pending global inflation data

💿 Platinum (the sleeper):

+47% YTD

Beautiful long setup played out exactly as planned

Still bullish above $1,400 if supply squeeze continues

💡 ETFs in metals are seeing inflows – more institutions hedging as dollar weakens.

🚗🔌 TECH STOCKS – NVDA, TSLA & THE NASDAQ
📈 NVIDIA (NVDA)

Best trade of the year for me

Clean re-entry, now hitting ATH levels

AI demand + tight supply = rocket fuel

⚡ Tesla (TSLA)

Bounce off 4H trendline

Still lagging slightly – political tensions (Trump vs. Musk) not helping

But levels are working like a charm

📊 NASDAQ (QQQ)

Hit our “max pain” zone perfectly

Rebounded with textbook precision

Momentum intact – watching for new highs

🇩🇪 DAX INDEX – CHARTS DON’T LIE
All-time high. Boom. Called it weeks ago.
Despite:

No Russian energy

Industrial drag

ECB policy constraints

📌 But what worked?
➡️ Simple chart structure.
➡️ Market psychology.
➡️ Pure TA.

Now at resistance again. Watch carefully – support below is clearly defined.

🧾 FINAL THOUGHTS – THE PROFESSOR'S NOTES
🔹 The market’s narrative can change fast, especially with Trump in the mix. He’s Mr. Volatility.
🔹 Powell holds the real power – and right now, he’s not flinching.
🔹 Risk appetite is back – but not evenly. Bitcoin is leading, altcoins are lagging, metals are maturing.
🔹 If rate cuts materialize in September, expect massive rotation across all risk assets.

💭 Until then, I’m playing level-to-level. No FOMO. Just charts and logic. That’s how we survive, and thrive.

Let me know which chart you want next – and thank you for staying sharp 💪📚

One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙

Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈